Analysts, AI and Data Diverge on When Bitcoin’s Bear Market Will End

Bitcoin has been in a pronounced downtrend that intensified in early February, prompting market observers to label the move a bear market; four popular AI chatbots were consulted for predictions on the turnaround and at least one (ChatGPT) judged BTC to be in the middle-to-late stage of the bear phase ^[1]. Historical market data show a sustained decline—five straight months of losses that leave BTC roughly 46% below its all-time high—supporting the view that the market is undergoing a multi-month correction ^[2].

Price-action measures and on-chain/flow analytics have produced differing near-term bottom estimates. Coverage notes BTC approaching $60,000 and “eyes” a multi-month bottom as the price slid, while other reporting places recent stabilization nearer $66,400 after the selloff ^[3][6]. An analytics firm cited in the coverage—K33 Research—has identified $60,000 as a potential bottom based on indicators such as volume, funding rates and ETF flows ^[4].

Market participants continue to apply different frameworks when planning entries and exits: one analyst outlined a macro-cycle approach to identify optimal buy and sell windows, arguing larger timeframes can make timing more predictable, while AI-derived assessments vary in their timelines and caveats ^[5][1].

There is no consensus on an exact turning point: some data and firms point to a low around $60,000, other coverage records stabilization nearer $66,400, and analysts and AI models offer divergent timelines—leaving the market outlook conditional on incoming price, flow and volatility data ^{[4][3][6][1][2]}.